Same pick, higher stake.

After a detailed thinking and calculating the possiblities all day, i decided to take Cavaliers +7.5. I backed Cleveland in most of the games against Detroit and won but this time i am not as confident as i used to be. Still the handicap is a little bigger than it has to be. I have few reasons for this:

1- Cavs are usually the team of tight matches. Because of their defensive mentality and ability to have good offensive minutes time by time, they manage to prevent a blow-out.

2- Lebron may have a great game. Nobody will be surprised if he scores 45 including game tier in the regular time and game winning driving dunk in the overtime.

3- When spurs are ahead, they usuall try to control game rather than finishing the game right there. We saw it in most of the games against Utah and utah always came back late, but of course couldn't get the win. Same scenario can happen here, with Cavs coming back from 15 points in the fourth quarter and lose the game by 5.

4- The matchup are good for Cleveland, i think their main goal will be stopping Parker from his usual game. Even Lebron can defend him and this could work.

I believe Spurs are favourites to win this series but Cleveland is always a good team to back in large handicaps.